Part I
Problems:
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Due to the poor possibilities of IDRISI
to work with datatables, I had a hard time to prepare my data. I already
described this problem in the section Data
Preparation and Manipulation.
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As there was no help available (IDRISI
Help is not very helpful let alone the IDRISI Manual and our Tutor does
not know the program) it took a lot of time and nervs to find out about
sometimes only tiny things. (Getting unexpectedly stuck at those 'considered-to-be-easy'
steps made a time planning for the project extremely difficult not to say
almost impossible).
Error Sources:
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I used Data of the Census 1996 and my literature is from 1997 - thus my
data and background
sources are relatively new.
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I worked with Enumeration Areas - as I think an appropriate size for my
purposes.
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I was able to bring my data almost exactely in the form that my literature
refers to.
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The literature data I used is data which was collected in the United States.
It was collected for all
216 Mio members of the society, which provides a broad and reliable base.
Although, the factors I
calculated refer to data of the U.S., the correlation between the socio-economic
factors and drugs
should be generally valid - at least for a culture that is as close to
the U.S. American cultrue as the
Canadian is (even though the Canadians keep negotiating that).
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I won the impression that there are errors in the Census data itself, as
I detected a few values that
seem to be highly unlikely. For example is the unemploymentrate extremly
high in some areas. There
are quite a few EAs with more than 90% unemployment.
Methodology:
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I multiplied with factors, added and built averages. I did not provide
arbitrary 'Reclass-Categories' or
Weighing Factors or boundaries. Therefore, I think the Analysis itself
does not contain significant
error sources.
Conclusion:
I found that the error sources for
Part I of my project are to be neglected.
I always worked very close to my
background literature when I was building data categories and calculated
weighing factors, the results should be theoretically reliable.
It is another question if theory
reflects reality - and if the variables are suitable to draw a picture
of drug usage. My results show: the soico-economic criteria are expressive
and theory seems to correspond with the real situation in Vancouver.
Part II: Market Analysis for Dealers
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The basic maps I used show police and skytrain stations. I digitized these
maps - thus they contain
the inaccuracy that occurs with digitizing.
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As there is no literature about markets for dealers, all factors I worked
with are a personal choice.
WLC:
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A buffer of 150m around police stations is my constraint factor. 150 m
is an arbitrary value. It is
simply based on my feeling what distance you should keep from an police
station in order to reduce
the probability to bumb into a police man.
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The weighing factors I provided for Number of Customers (0.55), distance
from police stations
(0.35) and proximity to skytrain stations (0.15) are arbitrary. I made
the choice based on personal
thoughts about 'what is how important'. There is no literature base (of
course not).
Conclusion:
Another person could have chosen
different factors, another buffer value and other weighing factors which
would have created a different result.
Notwithstanding, I made my choices
for particular reasons, that I explaint (see Methodology). Keeping these
explanations and my purposes in mind the map still possesses expressiveness.
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