Brownian Motion
For fair random walk = number of heads minus number of tails,
where the are independent and
Notice:
Recall central limit theorem:
Now: rescale time axis so that n steps take 1 time unit and vertical axis so step size is .
We now turn these pictures into a stochastic process:
For we define
Notice:
and
As with t fixed we see . Moreover:
converges to N(0,1) by the central limit theorem. Thus
Another observation: is independent of because the two rvs involve sums of different .
Conclusions.
As the processes converge to a process X with the properties:
then
are independent .
regardless of s.
Def'n: Any process satisfying 1-4 above is a Brownian motion.
Properties of Brownian motion
Notice the use of independent increments and of .
Suppose t< s. Then is a sum of two independent normal variables. Do following calculation:
, and independent. Z=X+Y.
Compute conditional distribution of X given Z:
Now Z is where so
for suitable choices of a and b. To find them compare coefficients of , x and 1.
Coefficient of :
so .
Coefficient of x:
so that
Finally you should check that
to make sure the coefficients of 1 work out as well.
Conclusion: given Z=z the conditional distribution of X is with a and b as above.
Application to Brownian motion:
and
SO:
and