The relative weights assigned to the various factors are also subjective. They represent my ideas of their relative importance. Depending on the emphasis placed on each of the factors, the final results of the analysis can vary radically. This project embodies my perception of the importance, and may not be representative of what the city of Vancouver is the deciding factor in locating a new hospital. Additionally, the project does not take into account the likely distribution of the population in the future and does not deal with actual numbers of expected population growth or expected population distribution. The
Decision Wizard offers choices for the shape and type of function that
best represents a given phenomenon. It also allows the user to set control
points to anchor the data. All these choices, however, are capable of
only approximating reality. The output of MCE attempts to model the world,
but is never truly successful, because the extent of the interactions
between the various factors is never fully understood. To quote Dr. Nadine
Schuurman, I’d like to stress that “all model are wrong, [although]
some are useful”. My model of the most suitable locations for a
new hospital development attempts to combine important characteristics
of Vancouver’s demographics, as well as regional geography to create
the best representation of the problem and the solution. |
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