Analysis: Comparing the Deprivation Scores

Correlation

We included a correlation test as well to exhibit the comparison strength of the deprivation scores. Correlation is a statistical method to study the joint behavior of two variables to test for their level of significance. Correlation tests were run at the DA, CT and LHA level in GVRD. We also ran a comparison within New Westminster at the CT and DA level. All values entered into the correlation were scaled between 0 and 1. Zero represented the least deprivation and 1 represented the most deprivation. A scatter matrix plot was created in S-Plus for visual comparison between all indices.

GVRD LHA

GVRD CT

GVRD DA

New Westminster CT

New Westminster DA

Correlation was calculated as:

Correlation tests fell between -1 and 1; while 1 and -1 represented the perfect relationship between the variables. Positive numbers represent a positive relationship and negative numbers represent a reverse relationship. Correlation coefficients equals to zero represent no relationship between the two variables.

Testing for the Absence of Correlation

In addition, a hypothesis test determines whether the absence of correlation exists between two variables. The absence of correlation test assumed the data were drawn from a bivariate normal distribution in which both and are normally distributed. A hypothesis test is valid when the sample size is larger than 30, which will exclude the values of the GVRD at LHA and New Westminster at CT level. Hypothesis Ho : p = 0 as there was no correlation between the two scores. For the Alternative Hypothesis, we looked at Ha: p >0 as we wanted to identify positive relationships between the indices. If the null hypothesis was rejected there was a relationship between the two indices.

Spatial Autocorrelation of the Indices

Spatial autocorrelation was executed at all three levels of our analysis. The calculation for spatial autocorrelation was run using the MapStat extension in the ESRI software platform ArcView 3.3. We chose to run a calculation for autocorrelation using the Moran's I technique. Before the calculation was run, deprivation scores were queried based on the mean score of the index. All values that were greater than one deviation from the mean were assigned a value of 1 and all values less then one standard deviation were assigned a value of zero. This reason for separating the deprivation scores based on their standard deviation was subjective. The purpose of this phase was simply to identify those units that were significantly above the mean value by one standard deviation.

Result

Correlation

GVRD Correlation (LHA)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
0.507
0.535
0.406
0.645
Jarman
-
0.957
0.106
0.785
SCOTDEP
-
-
0.127
0.689
SDD
-
-
-
0.260

GVRD Correlation (CT)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
0.415
0.326
0.437
0.627
Jarman
-
0.980
0.342
0.487
SCOTDEP
-
-
0.330
0.373
SDD
-
-
-
0.332

GVRD Correlation (DA)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
0.461
0.525
0.531
0.585
Jarman
-
0.528
0.397
0.625
SCOTDEP
-
-
0.400
0.670
SDD
-
-
-
0.358

New Westminster Correlation (CT)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
0.594
0.627
0.848
0.457
Jarman
-
0.822
0.792
0.905
SCOTDEP
-
-
0.896
0.915
SDD
-
-
-
0.783

GVRD Correlation (DA)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
0.534
0.715
0.761
0.715
Jarman
-
0.509
0.669
0.560
SCOTDEP
-
-
0.763
0.835
SDD
-
-
-
0.755

All correlation results displayed a positive relationship. In general, the GVRD LHA correlation is higher than the DA and CT levels. When the comparisons involve the SDD index the correlation is reversed. In all cases, the CT units displayed a higher correlation than the DA level except when incorporating the SDD index. If the SDD index is compared to the other indices, it will have a higher correlation at the more detail level than the general level. However, when the other indices are compared to each other they signify a stronger relationship at a smaller scale than at a larger scale. Both the SCOTDEP and Jarman indices demonstrated a very high correlation at the LHA and CT level in GVRD. This was presumable as the SCOTDEP index used four of the original eight Jarman variables to calculate deprivation. The New Westminster CT units generated a higher correlation value than the DA units within all the indices except DETR VS SCOTDEP and DETR VS TOWNSAND. Again, this pattern was not reflected when incorporating the SDD index into the New Westminster calculations. In all of the tests, the aggregation of data into smaller scales exhibited a stronger correlation.

Testing for the Absence of Correlation

GVRD t value for absence of correlation test (CT)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
16.671
13.757
17.427
25.697
Jarman
-
140.183
14.276
19.295
SCOTDEP
-
-
13.901
15.265
SDD
-
-
-
13.950

n = 394; t at 95% = 1.649

GVRD t value for absence of correlation test (DA)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
51.969
59.066
59.809
66.743
Jarman
-
59.381
45.599
72.529
SCOTDEP
-
-
45.874
80.058
SDD
-
-
-
41.930

n = 3159; t at 95% = 1.645

New Westminster t value for absence of correlation test (DA)

Jarman
SCOTDEP
SDD
Townsend
DETR
9.819
14.528
16.370
14.531
Jarman
-
9.325
13.044
10.333
SCOTDEP
-
-
16.462
20.596
SDD
-
-
-
16.110

n = 86; t at 95% = 1.663

We rejected all the tests we done. There was correlation between all the indices score in GVRD CT, GVRD DA and New Westminster DA level.

Spatial Autocorrelation

Global Moran Coefficient scores for all deprivation indices at the DA level

DETR Jarman SCOTDEP SDD Townsend
MoranCoefficient 0.200292 0.190777 0.17759 0.233598 0.353696
Z-Score 18.0518 17.1956 16.009 21.0488 31.8559

Global Moran Coefficient scores for all deprivation indices at the CT level

DETR Jarman SCOTDEP SDD Townsend
MoranCoefficient 0.352506 0.0969009 0.0862216 0.219162 0.484241
Z-Score 10.8705 3.03849 2.71126 6.78471 14.9071

Global Moran Coefficient scores for all deprivation indices at the LHA level

DETR Jarman SCOTDEP SDD Townsend
MoranCoefficient -0.064916 <NULL> <NULL> -0.041644 0.539728
Z-Score -0.177321 <NULL> <NULL> -0.036008 3.49427

Within the Jarman and SCOTDEP indices we observed less spatial autocorrelation as scale decreased although no observations above one standard deviation existed for these two indices at the LHA level. In an opposite effect, the Townsend index generated a stronger level of spatial autocorrelation as scale decreased. At the LHA level, however, the spatial autocorrelation may be explained as the three LHA boundaries that we classified as one deviation from the mean were: City Centre, Midtown, and the Downtown Eastside - all of which border each other geographically. As well, the DETR index showed a stronger correlation at the CT level then the DA level, but this then fell to a negative value at the LHA level as only one LHA unit existed after re-scaling. The varied amount of spatial autocorrelation in this analysis is suggestive of the amount of variability within each index.